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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:1
OGloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
74%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 22 games
68%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 13 games
77%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 12 games
58%

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 19 games
68%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 13 games
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 12 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Yuragi · 11 games
55%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 11 games
73%
Mars
Marssignature
Wisper · 10 games
80%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Ari · 10 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
bzm · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 332 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 317 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 466 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
276 picks · 384 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
274 picks · 401 bans
52%
Techies
Techies
270 picks · 188 bans
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
264 picks · 145 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
257 picks · 189 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:17
BETBOOM TEAM 59%OG 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 36:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenNightfall
61% · 93 games52% · 146 games
Leshracbzm
Leshrac
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightgpK~
55% · 119 games45% · 175 games
WindrangerTimado
Windranger
Doom
DoomMieRo
47% · 179 games42% · 163 games
MarsWisper
Mars
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 137 games51% · 140 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Tiny
TinySave-
47% · 205 games54% · 109 games
IoCeb
Io
Game 2prediction correct25:6
BETBOOM TEAM 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoNightfall
47% · 50 games45% · 122 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
54% · 310 games49% · 117 games
Dragon KnightWisper
Dragon Knight
Slardar
SlardarMieRo
43% · 45 games47% · 201 game
Ember Spiritbzm
Ember Spirit
Chen
ChenTORONTOTOKYO
62% · 99 games61% · 135 games
Keeper of the LightCeb
Keeper of the Light
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
51% · 147 games38% · 76 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Game 3prediction correct37:13
BETBOOM TEAM 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
35% · 156 games53% · 215 games
Puckbzm
Puck
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
48% · 167 games59% · 135 games
AlchemistTimado
Alchemist
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
42% · 180 games50% · 126 games
KunkkaWisper
Kunkka
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 90 games46% · 151 game
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Techies
TechiesSave-
50% · 231 game65% · 197 games
MiranaCeb
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3