DreamLeague Season 22 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:1series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:1
OGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 19 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 17 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 14 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 13 games
Sven
dyrachyo · 13 games
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
OG
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 17 games
Magnusoften banned
Wisper · 13 games
Alchemistoften banned
Yuragi · 11 games
Iosignature
Ceb · 11 games
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 11 games
Rubicksignature
Ari · 11 games
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 11 games
Pucksignature
bzm · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
377 picks · 332 bans
Centaur Warrunner
329 picks · 475 bans
Vengeful Spirit
328 picks · 317 bans
Pangolier
277 picks · 402 bans
Mars
274 picks · 380 bans
Techies
269 picks · 187 bans
Hoodwink
262 picks · 145 bans
Tiny
259 picks · 190 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total72% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:31
Gaimin Gladiators 62%OG 38%
The model gave 62% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by OG in 40:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lunadyrachyo
GyrocopterTimado
DoomAce
Templar Assassinbzm
Dragon KnightQuinn
HoodwinkAri
MiranatOfu
MarsWisper
UndyingSeleri
EnchantressCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 72%
Series resultOG 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1