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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Virtus.proloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Luna
lou · 24 games
58%
Lion
Lion
fy · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ori · 19 games
58%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 19 games
79%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
fy · 16 games
50%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%

Virtus.pro

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Noticed · 21 game
48%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 19 games
74%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 14 games
43%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 14 games
57%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
sayuw · 12 games
75%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 12 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Kiritych · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
376 picks · 327 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
331 picks · 480 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
329 picks · 316 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
277 picks · 401 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
271 picks · 371 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
266 picks · 184 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
261 picks · 144 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
256 picks · 188 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 47%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:16
Azure Ray 54%Virtus.pro 46%
The model gave 54% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 54:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Zeus
ZeusOri
45% · 86 games56% · 170 games
TerrorbladeKiritych
Terrorblade
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidlou
58% · 206 games50% · 162 games
Templar AssassinSquad1x
Templar Assassin
Mars
MarsFaith_bian
53% · 171 game52% · 198 games
MagnusNoticed
Magnus
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanfy
40% · 38 games49% · 212 games
Lionsayuw
Lion
Rubick
Rubick天命
46% · 452 games47% · 211 games
UndyingFng
Undying
Game 2prediction missed23:34
Azure Ray 51%Virtus.pro 49%
The model gave 51% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 55:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
Slarklou
50% · 190 games54% · 122 games
PuckSquad1x
Puck
Razor
RazorOri
50% · 94 games49% · 90 games
Faceless VoidKiritych
Faceless Void
Doom
DoomFaith_bian
52% · 335 games49% · 156 games
TimbersawNoticed
Timbersaw
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanfy
44% · 22 games55% · 148 games
MiranaFng
Mirana
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden天命
47% · 172 games46% · 297 games
Rubicksayuw
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 56%
Accuracy by game1 of 2