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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Heroicloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 20 games
70%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Lion
Lionsignature
Save- · 12 games
75%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 11 games
55%

Heroic

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Scofield · 17 games
71%
Lion
Lionsignature
Scofield · 11 games
64%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 11 games
55%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 10 games
50%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
KJ · 10 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
4nalog · 9 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
KJ · 9 games
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
KJ · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
367 picks · 321 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
330 picks · 478 bans
59%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 315 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 389 bans
52%
Techies
Techies
261 picks · 176 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
259 picks · 353 bans
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
257 picks · 143 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
251 picks · 473 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:17
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Heroic 55%
The model gave 55% on Heroic — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
52% · 123 games47% · 92 games
Troll WarlordK1
Troll Warlord
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld DestroyergpK~
54% · 30 games50% · 110 games
Void Spirit4nalog
Void Spirit
Batrider
BatriderMieRo
54% · 241 game51% · 138 games
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
51% · 183 games44% · 271 game
EnchantressKJ
Enchantress
Tiny
TinySave-
49% · 213 games50% · 179 games
LionScofield
Lion
Game 2prediction correct17:27
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Heroic 56%
The model gave 56% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:04:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaNightfall
49% · 104 games55% · 49 games
MedusaK1
Medusa
Huskar
HuskargpK~
47% · 20 games54% · 119 games
Dragon Knight4nalog
Dragon Knight
Death Prophet
Death ProphetMieRo
47% · 157 games51% · 100 games
MarsDavai
Mars
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 159 games42% · 237 games
RubickScofield
Rubick
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSave-
48% · 147 games57% · 82 games
GyrocopterKJ
Gyrocopter
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2