DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 19 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
Lionsignature
Save- · 12 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 11 games
OG
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 14 games
Iosignature
Ceb · 13 games
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 10 games
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
366 picks · 321 bans
Centaur Warrunner
327 picks · 479 bans
Vengeful Spirit
326 picks · 313 bans
Pangolier
272 picks · 385 bans
Hoodwink
257 picks · 143 bans
Mars
257 picks · 344 bans
Techies
256 picks · 174 bans
Magnus
249 picks · 469 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 59%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct49:16
BETBOOM TEAM 63%OG 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerNightfall
Invokerbzm
PangoliergpK~
Wraith KingTimado
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
BristlebackWisper
TechiesSave-
RubickCeb
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
TinyAri
Game 2prediction correct42:23
BETBOOM TEAM 61%OG 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenNightfall
AlchemistTimado
Void SpiritgpK~
Invokerbzm
OmniknightMieRo
MarsWisper
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
TechiesAri
TinySave-
LionCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2