DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Liquid
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 18 games
Lunasignature
miCKe · 15 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 13 games
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
Muertasignature
Boxi · 11 games
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
364 picks · 318 bans
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 313 bans
Centaur Warrunner
324 picks · 476 bans
Pangolier
269 picks · 382 bans
Mars
257 picks · 336 bans
Hoodwink
255 picks · 142 bans
Techies
255 picks · 171 bans
Magnus
249 picks · 462 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 41%
Hero pool strength57% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:40
Team Liquid 87%Aurora Gaming 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 34:21.
Game 2prediction missed14:37
Team Liquid 87%Aurora Gaming 13%
The model gave 87% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 51:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 87%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2