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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
61%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 13 games
85%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 13 games
69%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
75%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
58%
Sven
Sven
dyrachyo · 12 games
50%

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 13 games
69%
Io
Iosignature
Ceb · 13 games
62%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
55%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 10 games
40%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 9 games
78%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Ceb · 9 games
89%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
361 picks · 318 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 312 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 480 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
268 picks · 379 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
253 picks · 142 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
253 picks · 332 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
253 picks · 171 bans
55%
Magnus
Magnus
247 picks · 462 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head5 – 0
Model total52% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:26
Gaimin Gladiators 48%OG 52%
The model gave 52% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 36:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunadyrachyo
53% · 97 games54% · 127 games
Naga SirenTimado
Naga Siren
Puck
PuckQuinn
50% · 126 games48% · 89 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Magnus
MagnusAce
46% · 127 games48% · 141 game
MarsWisper
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinktOfu
46% · 114 games54% · 171 game
Vengeful SpiritCeb
Vengeful Spirit
Undying
UndyingSeleri
55% · 89 games40% · 25 games
Shadow ShamanAri
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed26:8
Gaimin Gladiators 48%OG 52%
The model gave 52% on OG — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistdyrachyo
50% · 191 game53% · 137 games
TerrorbladeTimado
Terrorblade
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
49% · 81 game47% · 172 games
DoomWisper
Doom
Zeus
ZeusQuinn
42% · 69 games48% · 143 games
Tinybzm
Tiny
Gyrocopter
GyrocoptertOfu
57% · 97 games58% · 65 games
WindrangerCeb
Windranger
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
49% · 144 games48% · 65 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2