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DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azure Rayloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
36%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 10 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
50%

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 23 games
61%
Lion
Lion
fy · 19 games
58%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ori · 19 games
58%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 17 games
88%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
fy · 16 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
361 picks · 318 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 312 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 480 bans
59%
Pangolier
Pangolier
268 picks · 379 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
253 picks · 142 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
253 picks · 332 bans
56%
Techies
Techies
253 picks · 171 bans
55%
Magnus
Magnus
247 picks · 462 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)35% vs 61%
Hero pool strength51% Azure Ray
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:20
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Azure Ray 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
56% · 174 games63% · 65 games
Troll Warlordlou
Troll Warlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightgpK~
48% · 194 games49% · 257 games
Ember SpiritOri
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsMieRo
45% · 182 games42% · 138 games
Centaur WarrunnerFaith_bian
Centaur Warrunner
Mirana
MiranaTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 185 games47% · 170 games
Windrangerfy
Windranger
Lion
LionSave-
46% · 216 games50% · 321 game
Techies天命
Techies
Game 2prediction correct24:11
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Azure Ray 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
47% · 126 games52% · 74 games
RazorOri
Razor
Puck
PuckgpK~
52% · 97 games53% · 82 games
Lifestealerlou
Lifestealer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
42% · 111 games51% · 200 games
MagnusFaith_bian
Magnus
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 73 games43% · 20 games
Shadow Shamanfy
Shadow Shaman
Lion
LionSave-
46% · 105 games56% · 136 games
Mirana天命
Mirana
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2