DreamLeague Season 22 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2 Invictus Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Scofield · 17 games
Winter Wyvernsignature
KJ · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
4nalog · 9 games
Lionsignature
Scofield · 9 games
Gyrocopter
KJ · 8 games
Marssignature
Davai · 8 games
Pangolieroften banned
4nalog · 8 games
Tiny
Scofield · 7 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
362 picks · 317 bans
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 310 bans
Centaur Warrunner
321 picks · 484 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 379 bans
Hoodwink
252 picks · 142 bans
Techies
251 picks · 170 bans
Magnus
250 picks · 459 bans
Mars
250 picks · 325 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 64%
Hero pool strength56% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:14
Heroic 34%G2 Invictus Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Heroic in 34:55.
Game 2prediction missed36:18
Heroic 34%G2 Invictus Gaming 66%
The model gave 66% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Heroic in 35:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 66%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2