BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Miposhka Teamwin 2:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:1
By_Owl Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Miposhka Team
Drow Ranger
Mariachi · 1 game
Jakiro
VooDooSh · 1 game
Lion
VooDooSh · 1 game
Magnus
ybicanoooobov · 1 game
Primal Beast
Shachlo · 1 game
Rubick
Miposhka · 1 game
Snapfire
ybicanoooobov · 1 game
Techies
Miposhka · 1 game
By_Owl Team
Hoodwinksignature
rostikfacekid · 7 games
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 6 games
Ringmaster
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Marsoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
avice · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
Snapfire
rostikfacekid · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
532 picks · 325 bans
Phoenix
480 picks · 581 bans
Tiny
426 picks · 357 bans
Rubick
422 picks · 225 bans
Jakiro
349 picks · 242 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 473 bans
Puck
330 picks · 853 bans
Beastmaster
321 picks · 831 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength54% Miposhka Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed44:28
Miposhka Team 47%By_Owl Team 53%
The model gave 53% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 55:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerMariachi
JuggernautKoma`
KunkkaShachlo
Earth Spiritreira
TechiesMiposhka
Magnusblindzone
Shadow ShamanVooDooSh
Winter Wyvernby_Owl
Lionybicanoooobov
Tuskrostikfacekid
Game 2prediction correct27:31
Miposhka Team 48%By_Owl Team 52%
The model gave 52% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 51:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Chaos KnightMariachi
LunaKoma`
EarthshakerShachlo
Storm Spiritreira
Death Prophetybicanoooobov
Visageblindzone
VenomancerVooDooSh
Grimstrokeby_Owl
Shadow DemonMiposhka
Dark Willowrostikfacekid
Game 3prediction missed37:30
Miposhka Team 47%By_Owl Team 53%
The model gave 53% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by Miposhka Team in 1:06:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetMariachi
KezKoma`
Lone DruidShachlo
Doomblindzone
Omniknightybicanoooobov
Ember Spiritreira
SnapfireVooDooSh
Rubickrostikfacekid
RingmasterMiposhka
Dazzleby_Owl
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 56%
Series resultMiposhka Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3