Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BOOM Esportsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
BOOM Esports
Vengeful Spirit
Panda · 13 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pakazs · 10 games
Phoenixoften banned
Panda · 10 games
Tidehunteroften banned
ILICH- · 9 games
Dawnbreaker
Ws · 8 games
Primal Beastsignature
ILICH- · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
ILICH- · 7 games
Magnussignature
ILICH- · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
358 picks · 312 bans
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 302 bans
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 490 bans
Pangolier
268 picks · 365 bans
Magnus
251 picks · 458 bans
Mars
246 picks · 310 bans
Techies
246 picks · 164 bans
Hoodwink
243 picks · 137 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% BOOM Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:42
G2 Invictus Gaming 70%BOOM Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 53:05.
Game 2prediction missed15:28
G2 Invictus Gaming 70%BOOM Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 27:52.
Game 3prediction missed34:20
G2 Invictus Gaming 70%BOOM Esports 30%
The model gave 70% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by BOOM Esports in 42:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 70%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3