BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
NS Teamloss 1:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Nix Teamwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Team
Abaddonoften banned
Sunlight · 1 game
Bane
NS · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Kudes · 1 game
Dark Willow
Stint · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
Kudes · 1 game
Juggernaut
ALOHADANCE · 1 game
Largooften banned
Stint · 1 game
Lich
NS · 1 game
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
534 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 360 bans
Rubick
421 picks · 225 bans
Jakiro
351 picks · 249 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 473 bans
Puck
332 picks · 858 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 835 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% NS Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:43
NS Team 39%Nix Team 61%
The model gave 61% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 41:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm SpiritALOHADANCE
LinaNix
SnapfireKudes
Windrangerxannii
Legion CommanderSunlight
Abaddonbowbowbow
EnchantressNS
Rubickalagon
Dark WillowStint
Spirit Breakerct0m
Game 2prediction missed44:14
NS Team 39%Nix Team 61%
The model gave 61% on Nix Team — the game was taken by NS Team in 38:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageALOHADANCE
Clinkzxannii
MagnusSunlight
Ember SpiritNix
OmniknightKudes
Pangolierbowbowbow
WeaverStint
Venomancerct0m
Winter WyvernNS
Techiesalagon
Game 3prediction correct35:44
NS Team 39%Nix Team 61%
The model gave 61% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 42:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaALOHADANCE
Nature's Prophetxannii
LargoSunlight
Keeper of the LightNix
TuskKudes
Dark Seerbowbowbow
JakiroNS
Bounty Hunteralagon
Nyx AssassinStint
Clockwerkct0m
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 72%
Series resultNix Team 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3