BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Solo Teamloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
By_Owl Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Solo Team
Brewmasteroften banned
9pasha · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
eternals · 2 games
Jakiro
Solo · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
eternals · 2 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Solo · 2 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
ssnovv1 · 1 game
Axe
9pasha · 1 game
By_Owl Team
Hoodwinksignature
rostikfacekid · 6 games
Windrangeroften banned
rostikfacekid · 6 games
Ringmaster
rostikfacekid · 5 games
Marsoften banned
blindzone · 4 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
avice · 4 games
Pangolieroften banned
avice · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
blindzone · 3 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Koma` · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
534 picks · 328 bans
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 360 bans
Rubick
421 picks · 225 bans
Jakiro
351 picks · 249 bans
Pangolier
344 picks · 473 bans
Puck
332 picks · 858 bans
Beastmaster
324 picks · 835 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% By_Owl Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% By_Owl Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:35
Solo Team 45%By_Owl Team 55%
The model gave 55% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 32:39.
Game 2prediction correct36:36
Solo Team 46%By_Owl Team 54%
The model gave 54% on By_Owl Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 44:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetiLTW
JuggernautKoma`
Spirit BreakerAlberkaaa
Bristlebackblindzone
SilencerSolo
Keeper of the Lightreira
Sand KingDread
Hoodwinkrostikfacekid
Vengeful SpiritБебур
Dazzleby_Owl
Model check result
Model favoriteBy_Owl Team · 55%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2