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Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 0:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 22 games
64%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 17 games
65%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 16 games
94%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
fy · 15 games
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 14 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
71%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 16 games
44%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
No!ob · 15 games
53%
Lion
Lionsignature
OmaR · 14 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
No!ob · 14 games
43%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Kaori · 13 games
54%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
TA2000 · 13 games
46%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Kaori · 13 games
62%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
358 picks · 303 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
331 picks · 515 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
319 picks · 300 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
272 picks · 369 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
252 picks · 454 bans
55%
Luna
Luna
247 picks · 227 bans
49%
Techies
Techies
243 picks · 152 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
242 picks · 360 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 65%
Hero pool strength59% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total68% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:36
Azure Ray 62%PSG Quest 38%
The model gave 62% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 39:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopterlou
57% · 131 game48% · 110 games
SlarkTA2000
Slark
Puck
PuckOri
53% · 230 games50% · 266 games
TinyNo!ob
Tiny
Magnus
MagnusFaith_bian
51% · 219 games50% · 199 games
Centaur WarrunnerMalik
Centaur Warrunner
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetfy
50% · 313 games47% · 225 games
Vengeful SpiritDukalis
Vengeful Spirit
Lion
Lion天命
50% · 277 games45% · 370 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Game 2prediction missed11:35
Azure Ray 58%PSG Quest 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 44:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunalou
52% · 159 games47% · 148 games
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Primal Beast
Primal BeastOri
52% · 208 games52% · 143 games
Keeper of the LightNo!ob
Keeper of the Light
Dark Seer
Dark SeerFaith_bian
53% · 88 games50% · 179 games
Centaur WarrunnerMalik
Centaur Warrunner
Tiny
Tinyfy
49% · 195 games46% · 138 games
HoodwinkOmaR
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon天命
52% · 142 games47% · 184 games
Vengeful SpiritDukalis
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 68%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2