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Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIloss 1:2
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Geek Famwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 7 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 6 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Immersion · 5 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 4 games
0%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 4 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
RodjER · 4 games
25%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
RAMZES666 · 4 games
25%
Pugna
Pugnaoften banned
Immersion · 3 games
67%

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubicksignature
NARMAN · 12 games
75%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Jing · 11 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Skem · 9 games
67%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
Mac · 6 games
33%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Jing · 6 games
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Skem · 6 games
67%
Sven
Svensignature
Ulnit · 6 games
67%
Warlock
Warlock
Skem · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
357 picks · 303 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
331 picks · 513 bans
58%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
318 picks · 300 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
271 picks · 368 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
253 picks · 454 bans
55%
Luna
Luna
246 picks · 227 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
242 picks · 362 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
241 picks · 152 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 63%
Hero pool strength60% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:27
HULIGANI 33%Geek Fam 67%
The model gave 67% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 17:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinre1bl
50% · 122 games49% · 178 games
Faceless VoidNatsumi
Faceless Void
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerRAMZES666
46% · 99 games50% · 73 games
Death ProphetMac
Death Prophet
Mars
MarsBb3px
46% · 114 games55% · 195 games
BatriderSkem
Batrider
Dark Willow
Dark WillowOneJey
56% · 114 games48% · 142 games
TuskJing
Tusk
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritaik
50% · 139 games
Game 2prediction missed35:26
HULIGANI 37%Geek Fam 63%
The model gave 63% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 46:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterRAMZES666
62% · 80 games45% · 150 games
LunaNatsumi
Luna
Doom
DoomBb3px
57% · 154 games45% · 233 games
Templar AssassinMac
Templar Assassin
Pangolier
Pangolierre1bl
46% · 254 games45% · 277 games
TinyJing
Tiny
Techies
Techiesaik
55% · 167 games51% · 156 games
EnigmaSkem
Enigma
Lion
LionOneJey
49% · 161 game
Game 3prediction correct7:29
HULIGANI 35%Geek Fam 65%
The model gave 65% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 38:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterRAMZES666
58% · 70 games45% · 138 games
Naga SirenNatsumi
Naga Siren
Tiny
Tinyre1bl
49% · 231 game49% · 50 games
DazzleMac
Dazzle
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
60% · 102 games40% · 393 games
RubickJing
Rubick
Techies
Techiesaik
49% · 292 games49% · 219 games
LionSkem
Lion
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeOneJey
55% · 105 games
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 77%
Series resultGeek Fam 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3