Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:1series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Entityloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Lionsignature
Pyw · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
Lunasignature
shiro · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
niu · 10 games
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
Muertasignature
shiro · 9 games
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Setsu · 8 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
356 picks · 301 bans
Centaur Warrunner
330 picks · 514 bans
Vengeful Spirit
317 picks · 297 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 368 bans
Magnus
253 picks · 452 bans
Luna
246 picks · 228 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 363 bans
Techies
241 picks · 152 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:20
LGD Gaming 65%Entity 35%
The model gave 65% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 36:18.
Game 2prediction missed19:27
LGD Gaming 65%Entity 35%
The model gave 65% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Entity in 50:50.
Game 3prediction correct26:11
LGD Gaming 65%Entity 35%
The model gave 65% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 35:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 65%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3