Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Neon Esportsloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Marsoften banned
JG · 11 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Bombi · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ken · 7 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 7 games
Techiessignature
Bombi · 7 games
Dark Willow
PlayHard · 6 games
Hoodwink
Bombi · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
354 picks · 301 bans
Centaur Warrunner
332 picks · 512 bans
Vengeful Spirit
316 picks · 297 bans
Pangolier
270 picks · 369 bans
Magnus
253 picks · 451 bans
Luna
246 picks · 227 bans
Phoenix
245 picks · 365 bans
Techies
241 picks · 149 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 62%
Hero pool strength51% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed32:16
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Neon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 36:41.
Game 2prediction missed19:20
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Neon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 52:19.
Game 3prediction missed11:31
G2 Invictus Gaming 81%Neon Esports 19%
The model gave 81% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 25:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 81%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3