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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 34 games
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 25 games
60%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rue · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 22 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
52%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 20 games
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 20 games
70%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 19 games
63%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 33 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 29 games
66%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
82%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
76%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
534 picks · 325 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
483 picks · 583 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
429 picks · 359 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
418 picks · 225 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
351 picks · 249 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 471 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
331 picks · 854 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
323 picks · 832 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 5
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:28
Team Spirit 48%BETBOOM TEAM 52%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 55:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerYatoro
49% · 35 games47% · 185 games
Monkey KingKiritych
Monkey King
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritLarl
46% · 382 games53% · 422 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierCollapse
46% · 372 games47% · 213 games
AxeMieRo
Axe
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorrue
57% · 90 games49% · 208 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Windranger
Windrangernot me
54% · 188 games52% · 39 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Game 2prediction missed37:10
Team Spirit 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 30:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendYatoro
50% · 179 games50% · 208 games
Monkey KingKiritych
Monkey King
Pangolier
PangolierCollapse
44% · 246 games57% · 119 games
LargoMieRo
Largo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainLarl
40% · 225 games48% · 234 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorrue
63% · 91 game54% · 40 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Techies
Techiesnot me
48% · 78 games51% · 218 games
WindrangerSave-
Windranger
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2