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Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
One Moveloss 0:2
series probability
18%82%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Disruptor
Disruptor
Xakoda · 9 games
22%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Panto · 9 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
AfterLife · 7 games
43%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Ainkrad · 7 games
29%
Rubick
Rubick
Xakoda · 6 games
50%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Panto · 6 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Panto · 5 games
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshakeroften banned
Ainkrad · 5 games
60%

LGD Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 13 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 11 games
64%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 10 games
70%
Luna
Luna
shiro · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 9 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Setsu · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Setsu · 8 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
niu · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
343 picks · 297 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
324 picks · 508 bans
59%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
309 picks · 290 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
261 picks · 362 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
253 picks · 440 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
244 picks · 365 bans
49%
Luna
Luna
241 picks · 221 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
235 picks · 148 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 38%
Hero pool strength61% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:35
One Move 30%LGD Gaming 70%
The model gave 70% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 32:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingnesfeer
50% · 279 games46% · 160 games
Lunashiro
Luna
Timbersaw
TimbersawAinkrad
51% · 265 games50% · 280 games
Storm SpiritSetsu
Storm Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAfterLife
50% · 175 games50% · 364 games
Pangolierniu
Pangolier
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetPanto
47% · 241 game51% · 287 games
BatriderPyw
Batrider
Tiny
TinyGilgir
55% · 248 games52% · 117 games
Crystal Maideny`
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct25:23
One Move 33%LGD Gaming 67%
The model gave 67% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 43:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunanesfeer
49% · 110 games49% · 120 games
Naga Sirenshiro
Naga Siren
Pangolier
PangolierAinkrad
50% · 266 games46% · 166 games
Marsniu
Mars
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerAfterLife
49% · 141 game56% · 144 games
WindrangerSetsu
Windranger
Hoodwink
HoodwinkGilgir
43% · 114 games55% · 154 games
Shadow DemonPyw
Shadow Demon
Undying
UndyingPanto
53% · 145 games50% · 192 games
Vengeful Spirity`
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 82%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2