Игры Будущего 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionEEchpo4makloss 0:2
series probability
7%93%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Echpo4mak
No games played over 6 months.
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
343 picks · 297 bans
Centaur Warrunner
324 picks · 508 bans
Vengeful Spirit
309 picks · 290 bans
Pangolier
261 picks · 362 bans
Magnus
253 picks · 440 bans
Phoenix
244 picks · 365 bans
Luna
241 picks · 221 bans
Techies
235 picks · 148 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%
Hero pool strength50% Echpo4mak
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:39
Echpo4mak 7%G2 Invictus Gaming 93%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 23:59.
Game 2prediction correct14:29
Echpo4mak 7%G2 Invictus Gaming 93%
The model gave 93% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 30:34.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 93%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2