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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Liquidwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
74%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 18 games
67%
Invoker
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 16 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
38%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Save- · 10 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
50%

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 15 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
364 picks · 548 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
344 picks · 295 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 290 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
296 picks · 427 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
292 picks · 402 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
279 picks · 476 bans
55%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
273 picks · 749 bans
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
269 picks · 659 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 59%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total61% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:16
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Team Liquid 55%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:20:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 134 games49% · 160 games
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Templar Assassin
Weaver
WeaverNightfall
56% · 49 games40% · 80 games
Brewmaster33
Brewmaster
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
53% · 68 games46% · 32 games
SniperNisha
Sniper
Primal Beast
Primal BeastMieRo
49% · 149 games49% · 220 games
TinyBoxi
Tiny
Lion
LionSave-
55% · 127 games52% · 35 games
Winter WyverniNSaNiA
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct5:26
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Team Liquid 56%
The model gave 56% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 20:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokergpK~
51% · 135 games52% · 109 games
Templar AssassinNisha
Templar Assassin
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
52% · 87 games50% · 65 games
LunamiCKe
Luna
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
52% · 231 game46% · 136 games
Batrider33
Batrider
Enigma
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
56% · 167 games48% · 122 games
TinyBoxi
Tiny
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanSave-
45% · 19 games44% · 207 games
RubickiNSaNiA
Rubick
Game 3prediction correct6:17
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Team Liquid 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 33:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaNightfall
53% · 138 games51% · 107 games
LunamiCKe
Luna
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightMieRo
47% · 155 games55% · 155 games
Void SpiritNisha
Void Spirit
Windranger
WindrangergpK~
48% · 170 games48% · 132 games
Tidehunter33
Tidehunter
Enchantress
EnchantressSave-
50% · 267 games53% · 102 games
EnigmaiNSaNiA
Enigma
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 181 game46% · 415 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 61%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3