Immortal Cup Season 2 · BO5
result vs predictionZTZhou Teamloss 0:3
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:3
STSomnus Teamwin 3:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zhou Team
No games played over 6 months.
Somnus Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
538 picks · 326 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 585 bans
Tiny
432 picks · 359 bans
Rubick
417 picks · 225 bans
Jakiro
357 picks · 260 bans
Pangolier
341 picks · 469 bans
Puck
334 picks · 862 bans
Beastmaster
329 picks · 836 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Zhou Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Somnus Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zhou Team 45%Somnus Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 2prediction correct
Zhou Team 45%Somnus Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Game 3prediction correct
Zhou Team 45%Somnus Team 55%
The model gave 55% on Somnus Team — the game was taken by Somnus Team.
Model check result
Model favoriteSomnus Team · 55%
Series resultSomnus Team 0:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3