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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Liquidwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 15 games
73%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 15 games
73%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 15 games
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
Chalice · 13 games
62%

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 13 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
78%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
372 picks · 556 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
343 picks · 295 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 290 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
309 picks · 439 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
293 picks · 406 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
287 picks · 480 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
279 picks · 756 bans
54%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
276 picks · 672 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total59% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:30
Azure Ray 46%Team Liquid 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 32:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordlou
57% · 90 games52% · 112 games
Alchemist33
Alchemist
Void Spirit
Void SpiritOri
47% · 139 games55% · 31 game
WeavermiCKe
Weaver
Mars
MarsFaith_bian
51% · 137 games47% · 144 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Windranger
Windrangerfy
56% · 139 games45% · 364 games
RubickBoxi
Rubick
Techies
Techies天命
47% · 320 games49% · 174 games
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct13:34
Azure Ray 43%Team Liquid 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 39:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svenlou
44% · 132 games51% · 158 games
WindrangermiCKe
Windranger
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerFaith_bian
51% · 193 games55% · 124 games
Alchemist33
Alchemist
Void Spirit
Void SpiritOri
47% · 140 games51% · 153 games
PuckNisha
Puck
Lion
Lionfy
51% · 162 games56% · 152 games
Nature's ProphetBoxi
Nature's Prophet
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon天命
44% · 151 game49% · 191 game
Vengeful SpiritiNSaNiA
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 59%
Series resultTeam Liquid 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2