?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
56%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 14 games
71%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
71%
Techies
Techiessignature
fy · 14 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 13 games
77%

Team Spirit

Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Miposhka · 13 games
85%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 12 games
92%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 12 games
92%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 11 games
91%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
90%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 10 games
80%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 9 games
89%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yatoro · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
371 picks · 558 bans
57%
Lion
Lion
340 picks · 294 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
334 picks · 291 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
313 picks · 445 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
293 picks · 407 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
290 picks · 483 bans
56%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
281 picks · 768 bans
53%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
277 picks · 677 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed0:0
Azure Ray 35%Team Spirit 65%
The model gave 65% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 21919:21:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordlou
61% · 73 games60% · 33 games
Arc WardenYatoro
Arc Warden
Timbersaw
TimbersawFaith_bian
47% · 257 games50% · 171 game
Dragon KnightLarl
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritOri
55% · 254 games47% · 156 games
MarsCollapse
Mars
Tiny
Tinyfy
50% · 266 games44% · 511 games
RubickMira
Rubick
Lion
Lion天命
46% · 193 games49% · 172 games
PugnaMiposhka
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed31:16
Azure Ray 36%Team Spirit 64%
The model gave 64% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 46:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinOri
50% · 179 games47% · 270 games
MorphlingYatoro
Morphling
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordlou
48% · 61 game56% · 202 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Brewmaster
BrewmasterFaith_bian
48% · 76 games51% · 250 games
TimbersawCollapse
Timbersaw
Techies
Techies天命
48% · 255 games56% · 57 games
Ancient ApparitionMiposhka
Ancient Apparition
Rubick
Rubickfy
43% · 473 games54% · 265 games
TinyMira
Tiny
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 77%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2