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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Azure Raywin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
78%

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 19 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 17 games
65%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 15 games
60%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 13 games
77%
Techies
Techiessignature
天命 · 13 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 570 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
335 picks · 291 bans
54%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 280 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 466 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
296 picks · 416 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
292 picks · 475 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
287 picks · 460 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
284 picks · 788 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 68%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total61% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed4:21
Team Liquid 52%Azure Ray 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 24:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingmiCKe
48% · 190 games52% · 183 games
Lunalou
Luna
Timbersaw
Timbersaw33
44% · 182 games57% · 133 games
Queen of PainOri
Queen of Pain
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNisha
55% · 178 games53% · 178 games
MarsFaith_bian
Mars
Lion
LionBoxi
50% · 195 games47% · 337 games
Techiesfy
Techies
Phoenix
PhoenixiNSaNiA
41% · 169 games54% · 83 games
Marci天命
Marci
Game 2prediction correct28:16
Team Liquid 54%Azure Ray 46%
The model gave 54% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 35:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight33
51% · 72 games54% · 25 games
Arc WardenOri
Arc Warden
Windranger
WindrangermiCKe
45% · 76 games54% · 140 games
Slarklou
Slark
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
55% · 56 games53% · 37 games
SlardarFaith_bian
Slardar
Monkey King
Monkey KingBoxi
52% · 66 games50% · 67 games
Clinkzfy
Clinkz
Enchantress
EnchantressiNSaNiA
46% · 147 games46% · 148 games
Lion天命
Lion
Game 3prediction missed22:48
Team Liquid 57%Azure Ray 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 44:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight33
51% · 171 game50% · 313 games
Storm SpiritOri
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
49% · 365 games51% · 265 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidmiCKe
54% · 180 games51% · 192 games
Slarklou
Slark
Batrider
BatrideriNSaNiA
46% · 344 games45% · 270 games
Tinyfy
Tiny
Monkey King
Monkey KingBoxi
51% · 183 games51% · 203 games
Shadow Demon天命
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 61%
Series resultAzure Ray 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3