BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 11 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 10 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 8 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 25 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 11 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
373 picks · 570 bans
Lion
334 picks · 288 bans
Vengeful Spirit
333 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 465 bans
Pangolier
293 picks · 415 bans
Magnus
290 picks · 473 bans
Grimstroke
286 picks · 460 bans
Nature's Prophet
284 picks · 788 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 45%
Hero pool strength61% Team Spirit
Head-to-head3 – 3
Model total70% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:23
Team Spirit 60%Gaimin Gladiators 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 33:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingYatoro
Svendyrachyo
Dragon KnightLarl
PangolierQuinn
BeastmasterCollapse
Lone DruidAce
GrimstrokeMiposhka
EnigmaSeleri
TechiesMira
LiontOfu
Game 2prediction missed14:30
Team Spirit 62%Gaimin Gladiators 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 34:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidYatoro
Slarkdyrachyo
Queen of PainLarl
PangolierQuinn
KunkkaCollapse
MagnusAce
Crystal MaidenMiposhka
EnigmaSeleri
Shadow ShamanMira
Winter WyverntOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 70%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2