BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 10 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 10 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 9 games
Pucksignature
Larl · 8 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
OG
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 12 games
Iosignature
Ceb · 12 games
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuragi · 8 games
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 564 bans
Lion
329 picks · 284 bans
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 271 bans
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
Magnus
287 picks · 459 bans
Pangolier
284 picks · 412 bans
Grimstroke
281 picks · 460 bans
Nature's Prophet
278 picks · 782 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 64%
Hero pool strength65% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total54% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:41
Team Spirit 52%OG 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by OG in 1:11:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SlarkYatoro
Troll WarlordYuragi
DazzleLarl
Pangolierbzm
SlardarCollapse
TimbersawWisper
EnchantressMiposhka
WindrangerCeb
LionMira
MarciAri
Game 2prediction correct25:27
Team Spirit 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 40:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenYatoro
Dragon Knightbzm
PudgeCollapse
SlarkYuragi
KunkkaLarl
BrewmasterWisper
Shadow DemonMiposhka
WindrangerCeb
Vengeful SpiritMira
TechiesAri
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2