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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Spiritloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Azure Rayloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 11 games
100%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Mira · 11 games
91%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Mira · 10 games
90%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Larl · 10 games
100%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Miposhka · 10 games
90%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 9 games
78%
Puck
Pucksignature
Larl · 8 games
88%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Mira · 8 games
100%

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 19 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 16 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
60%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 562 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
325 picks · 282 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
325 picks · 262 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
282 picks · 455 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
280 picks · 460 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
279 picks · 410 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 780 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 69%
Hero pool strength60% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:35
Team Spirit 50%Azure Ray 50%
The model gave 50% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 55:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageYatoro
44% · 43 games56% · 125 games
Slarklou
Slark
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightLarl
49% · 101 game50% · 20 games
Arc WardenOri
Arc Warden
Mars
MarsCollapse
49% · 122 games52% · 146 games
Hoodwinkfy
Hoodwink
Batrider
BatriderMira
47% · 311 games52% · 179 games
MagnusFaith_bian
Magnus
Lion
LionMiposhka
49% · 176 games50% · 283 games
Techies天命
Techies
Game 2prediction correct33:11
Team Spirit 52%Azure Ray 48%
The model gave 52% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkYatoro
53% · 126 games48% · 29 games
Lone Druidlou
Lone Druid
Mars
MarsCollapse
55% · 97 games58% · 19 games
Outworld DestroyerOri
Outworld Destroyer
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightLarl
59% · 134 games43% · 136 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Pugna
PugnaMiposhka
50% · 184 games45% · 215 games
Batriderfy
Batrider
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMira
57% · 3 games45% · 145 games
Shadow Demon天命
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 52%
Accuracy by game2 of 2