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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
40%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Dy · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dy · 3 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Xxs · 3 games
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
XinQ · 3 games
100%

OG

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 11 games
73%
Io
Iosignature
Ceb · 11 games
73%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Ari · 11 games
55%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 9 games
78%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
63%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
bzm · 8 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Yuragi · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
368 picks · 560 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
325 picks · 282 bans
53%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
324 picks · 260 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 463 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
282 picks · 455 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
278 picks · 460 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
278 picks · 408 bans
51%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 778 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% OG
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total67% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:19
Xtreme Gaming 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 37:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaAme
46% · 104 games59% · 230 games
Faceless VoidYuragi
Faceless Void
Mars
MarsXxs
44% · 126 games56% · 94 games
Anti-MageWisper
Anti-Mage
Void Spirit
Void SpiritXm
39% · 71 game54% · 250 games
Primal Beastbzm
Primal Beast
Rubick
RubickDy
42% · 348 games56% · 180 games
EnigmaCeb
Enigma
Batrider
BatriderXinQ
48% · 182 games54% · 77 games
GrimstrokeAri
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct29:21
Xtreme Gaming 58%OG 42%
The model gave 58% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 44:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkAme
57% · 65 games51% · 33 games
WeaverYuragi
Weaver
Viper
ViperXm
57% · 28 games47% · 93 games
TimbersawWisper
Timbersaw
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
59% · 118 games48% · 50 games
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Marci
MarciXinQ
53% · 51 game34% · 78 games
HoodwinkAri
Hoodwink
Bane
BaneDy
54% · 20 games41% · 28 games
IoCeb
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 67%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2