?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Azure Rayloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Mirana
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
40%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Dy · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dy · 3 games
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
XinQ · 3 games
100%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Ghost · 3 games
67%

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 19 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
81%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 15 games
73%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
60%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
天命 · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 12 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
364 picks · 560 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
322 picks · 257 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
321 picks · 281 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 460 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
282 picks · 451 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
277 picks · 459 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 778 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
277 picks · 404 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength57% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total52% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:9
Xtreme Gaming 51%Azure Ray 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 25:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaXm
48% · 109 games52% · 98 games
Dragon KnightOri
Dragon Knight
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidAme
52% · 156 games45% · 108 games
Windrangerlou
Windranger
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
53% · 147 games47% · 74 games
DawnbreakerFaith_bian
Dawnbreaker
Chen
ChenDy
58% · 66 games45% · 209 games
Tinyfy
Tiny
Monkey King
Monkey KingXinQ
49% · 131 game52% · 120 games
Grimstroke天命
Grimstroke
Game 2prediction correct30:11
Xtreme Gaming 51%Azure Ray 49%
The model gave 51% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 39:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
49% · 192 games50% · 202 games
Templar Assassinlou
Templar Assassin
Slark
SlarkAme
60% · 130 games50% · 217 games
TimbersawFaith_bian
Timbersaw
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritXm
50% · 308 games50% · 117 games
KunkkaOri
Kunkka
Techies
TechiesDy
49% · 301 game45% · 393 games
Batriderfy
Batrider
Lion
LionXinQ
52% · 208 games45% · 210 games
Vengeful Spirit天命
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 52%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2