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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Virtus.proloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 12 games
67%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
73%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
60%
Luna
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
80%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 9 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 9 games
78%

Virtus.pro

Pugna
Pugnasignature
sayuw · 17 games
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Noticed · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
sayuw · 14 games
79%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
sayuw · 13 games
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Fng · 13 games
77%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidsignature
Kiritych · 12 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Squad1x · 12 games
58%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Squad1x · 11 games
82%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
364 picks · 560 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
322 picks · 255 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
321 picks · 279 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
316 picks · 460 bans
49%
Magnus
Magnus
282 picks · 451 bans
56%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
277 picks · 459 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
277 picks · 776 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
275 picks · 404 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Virtus.pro
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total76% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:32
Team Liquid 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 1:01:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinmiCKe
52% · 188 games51% · 121 game
AlchemistKiritych
Alchemist
Puck
PuckNisha
55% · 193 games47% · 369 games
PangolierSquad1x
Pangolier
Batrider
Batrider33
51% · 305 games45% · 82 games
DawnbreakerNoticed
Dawnbreaker
Chen
CheniNSaNiA
59% · 94 games47% · 309 games
Techiessayuw
Techies
Tiny
TinyBoxi
47% · 229 games46% · 128 games
Crystal MaidenFng
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct31:14
Team Liquid 64%Virtus.pro 36%
The model gave 64% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 31:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinNisha
51% · 222 games48% · 123 games
LunaKiritych
Luna
Windranger
WindrangermiCKe
46% · 191 game51% · 398 games
PangolierSquad1x
Pangolier
Tidehunter
Tidehunter33
49% · 165 games49% · 84 games
DawnbreakerNoticed
Dawnbreaker
Chen
CheniNSaNiA
67% · 93 games48% · 240 games
Tusksayuw
Tusk
Rubick
RubickBoxi
44% · 540 games48% · 366 games
TechiesFng
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 76%
Series resultTeam Liquid 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2