BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Azure Rayloss 1:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
nounsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Azure Ray
Lunasignature
lou · 18 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 16 games
Primal Beastsignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Batridersignature
天命 · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
Lionsignature
fy · 12 games
Rubicksignature
天命 · 12 games
nouns
Phoenixsignature
Fly · 16 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Fly · 15 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
YamSun · 13 games
Invokersignature
Stormstormer · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
Stormstormer · 12 games
Magnusoften banned
Gunnar · 11 games
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 11 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 558 bans
Lion
317 picks · 275 bans
Vengeful Spirit
316 picks · 247 bans
Phoenix
314 picks · 455 bans
Magnus
278 picks · 443 bans
Nature's Prophet
275 picks · 773 bans
Grimstroke
274 picks · 459 bans
Faceless Void
272 picks · 662 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)74% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Azure Ray
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:24
Azure Ray 56%nouns 44%
The model gave 56% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by nouns in 30:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lunalou
Dragon KnightGunnar
Death ProphetOri
SvenYuma
Centaur WarrunnerFaith_bian
VisageStormstormer
Batriderfy
GyrocopterLelis
Rubick天命
Vengeful SpiritFly
Game 2prediction correct28:12
Azure Ray 58%nouns 42%
The model gave 58% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 34:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlinglou
SvenYuma
Templar AssassinOri
Lone DruidGunnar
MarsFaith_bian
InvokerStormstormer
Rubickfy
Vengeful SpiritFly
Techies天命
TinyLelis
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2