BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 12 games
Invokeroften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
OG
Alchemistsignature
Yuragi · 10 games
Hoodwinksignature
Ari · 10 games
Magnussignature
Ari · 10 games
Iosignature
Ceb · 9 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 8 games
Ember Spiritsignature
bzm · 7 games
Primal Beastoften banned
bzm · 7 games
Puckoften banned
bzm · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 557 bans
Lion
317 picks · 275 bans
Vengeful Spirit
316 picks · 244 bans
Phoenix
314 picks · 454 bans
Magnus
277 picks · 440 bans
Nature's Prophet
274 picks · 773 bans
Grimstroke
273 picks · 459 bans
Faceless Void
270 picks · 660 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 68%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:11
BETBOOM TEAM 57%OG 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidNightfall
SvenYuragi
InvokergpK~
Ember Spiritbzm
Primal BeastMieRo
Legion CommanderWisper
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
TechiesAri
Shadow ShamanSave-
EnchantressCeb
Game 2prediction correct32:19
BETBOOM TEAM 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingNightfall
GyrocopterYuragi
InvokergpK~
Void Spiritbzm
ViperMieRo
MagnusWisper
EnigmaTORONTOTOKYO
HoodwinkAri
TinySave-
IoCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 64%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2