European Pro League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleeloss 0:2series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:2
SIBE Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
SIBE Team
Rubick
sunset · 19 games
Brewmastersignature
klassnokruto · 13 games
Grimstrokesignature
emptiness · 13 games
Pangoliersignature
erase · 12 games
Primal Beastsignature
klassnokruto · 12 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
ряф^^ · 11 games
Puckoften banned
ряф^^ · 11 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Rein · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 555 bans
Lion
317 picks · 275 bans
Vengeful Spirit
316 picks · 243 bans
Phoenix
313 picks · 454 bans
Magnus
277 picks · 439 bans
Nature's Prophet
274 picks · 773 bans
Grimstroke
272 picks · 459 bans
Faceless Void
270 picks · 659 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% SIBE Team
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total75% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:11
Team Klee 75%SIBE Team 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 32:37.
Game 2prediction missed49:26
Team Klee 75%SIBE Team 25%
The model gave 75% on Team Klee — the game was taken by SIBE Team in 39:52.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 75%
Series resultSIBE Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2