?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Falconsloss 1:1
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:1
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Luna
Lunasignature
Skiter · 17 games
76%
Mars
Marssignature
ATF · 17 games
94%
Chen
Chensignature
Sneyking · 16 games
88%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Sneyking · 16 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
Cr1t- · 16 games
88%
Lina
Linasignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Malr1ne · 14 games
71%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 12 games
75%

LGD Gaming

Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
y` · 10 games
70%
Lion
Lionsignature
Pyw · 8 games
63%
Brewmaster
Brewmastersignature
niu · 7 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Setsu · 7 games
86%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
y` · 7 games
57%
Weaver
Weaversignature
shiro · 7 games
71%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
niu · 6 games
33%
Doom
Doomsignature
niu · 6 games
83%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
361 picks · 555 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
315 picks · 240 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
314 picks · 274 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
312 picks · 453 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
276 picks · 436 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 773 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
271 picks · 459 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
269 picks · 656 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)76% vs 41%
Hero pool strength59% Team Falcons
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total71% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:42
Team Falcons 62%LGD Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 38:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordSkiter
59% · 99 games46% · 139 games
Naga Sirenshiro
Naga Siren
Lina
LinaMalr1ne
49% · 114 games50% · 347 games
Ember SpiritSetsu
Ember Spirit
Mars
MarsATF
46% · 167 games52% · 169 games
Primal Beastniu
Primal Beast
Batrider
BatriderCr1t-
49% · 357 games50% · 203 games
Nature's Prophety`
Nature's Prophet
Techies
TechiesSneyking
52% · 298 games47% · 177 games
LionPyw
Lion
Game 2prediction correct36:6
Team Falcons 62%LGD Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 33:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mars
MarsATF
45% · 145 games54% · 80 games
Alchemistshiro
Alchemist
Weaver
WeaverSkiter
53% · 64 games52% · 165 games
Timbersawniu
Timbersaw
Monkey King
Monkey KingMalr1ne
51% · 235 games50% · 141 game
PuckSetsu
Puck
Tusk
TuskCr1t-
46% · 271 game54% · 122 games
Keeper of the LightPyw
Keeper of the Light
Lion
LionSneyking
48% · 192 games50% · 399 games
Rubicky`
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 71%
Accuracy by game1 of 2