BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 22 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Muertaoften banned
tOfu · 16 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 11 games
Phoenixsignature
Seleri · 11 games
Earthshakersignature
Quinn · 10 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Ace · 9 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Seleri · 9 games
Team Liquid
Kunkkasignature
Nisha · 11 games
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 10 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 10 games
Lunasignature
miCKe · 10 games
Muertasignature
Boxi · 10 games
Vengeful Spiritsignature
iNSaNiA · 10 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Boxi · 8 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 554 bans
Vengeful Spirit
313 picks · 236 bans
Phoenix
311 picks · 453 bans
Lion
310 picks · 273 bans
Magnus
275 picks · 432 bans
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 771 bans
Grimstroke
270 picks · 458 bans
Faceless Void
268 picks · 652 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Team Liquid
Head-to-head9 – 3
Model total56% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:10
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 28:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemistdyrachyo
PangolierNisha
BroodmotherAce
Templar AssassinmiCKe
Death ProphetQuinn
Brewmaster33
HoodwinktOfu
PugnaBoxi
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
LioniNSaNiA
Game 2prediction correct30:7
Gaimin Gladiators 53%Team Liquid 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 32:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Svendyrachyo
MedusamiCKe
PangolierQuinn
InvokerNisha
DawnbreakerAce
Beastmaster33
MuertatOfu
HoodwinkBoxi
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
LioniNSaNiA
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 56%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2