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European Pro League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleeloss 1:2
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
KZ TEAMwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.

KZ TEAM

Rubick
Rubick
Pablo · 19 games
32%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
SsaSpartan · 18 games
61%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Otaker · 17 games
53%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Astral · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Astral · 16 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
SsaSpartan · 15 games
47%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 15 games
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
SsaSpartan · 14 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 551 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
312 picks · 236 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
311 picks · 450 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
308 picks · 273 bans
53%
Magnus
Magnus
275 picks · 430 bans
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 770 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
268 picks · 458 bans
52%
Faceless Void
Faceless Void
267 picks · 651 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 61%
Hero pool strength52% KZ TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:35
Team Klee 59%KZ TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Klee — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 46:25.
Game 2prediction missed12:34
Team Klee 59%KZ TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Klee — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 32:15.
Game 3prediction missed20:27
Team Klee 59%KZ TEAM 41%
The model gave 59% on Team Klee — the game was taken by KZ TEAM in 29:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 59%
Series resultKZ TEAM 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3