BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 12 games
Invokeroften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 10 games
Xtreme Gaming
Mirana
XinQ · 5 games
Earthshaker
XinQ · 4 games
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Xm · 4 games
Vengeful Spirit
Dy · 4 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
XinQ · 3 games
Gyrocopter
Ghost · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 550 bans
Vengeful Spirit
312 picks · 234 bans
Phoenix
309 picks · 449 bans
Lion
305 picks · 272 bans
Magnus
274 picks · 427 bans
Nature's Prophet
272 picks · 768 bans
Grimstroke
268 picks · 458 bans
Faceless Void
266 picks · 648 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:25
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Xtreme Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassingpK~
Anti-MageAme
Primal BeastMieRo
MagnusXxs
Faceless VoidNightfall
PuckXm
BatriderTORONTOTOKYO
HoodwinkXinQ
LionSave-
PhoenixDy
Game 2prediction missed11:26
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Xtreme Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 37:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingNightfall
Naga SirenAme
Dragon KnightgpK~
LinaXm
Dark SeerMieRo
Primal BeastXxs
HoodwinkSave-
Shadow DemonXinQ
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
BatriderDy
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2