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ESL One Birmingham 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO5
result vs prediction
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 3:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Azure Rayloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.

Azure Ray

Luna
Lunasignature
lou · 15 games
73%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 15 games
80%
Batrider
Batridersignature
天命 · 13 games
77%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
天命 · 13 games
62%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 13 games
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Chalice · 12 games
58%
Lion
Lionsignature
fy · 11 games
73%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Xxs · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
342 picks · 514 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
296 picks · 434 bans
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
289 picks · 209 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
287 picks · 253 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 457 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
258 picks · 410 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
256 picks · 367 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
254 picks · 748 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 76%
Hero pool strength61% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total63% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:38
G2 Invictus Gaming 37%Azure Ray 63%
The model gave 63% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:23:44.
Game 2prediction correct25:23
G2 Invictus Gaming 37%Azure Ray 63%
The model gave 63% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 52:55.
Game 3prediction correct26:10
G2 Invictus Gaming 37%Azure Ray 63%
The model gave 63% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 46:08.
Game 4prediction correct37:27
G2 Invictus Gaming 37%Azure Ray 63%
The model gave 63% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:47:50.
Game 5prediction correct39:13
G2 Invictus Gaming 37%Azure Ray 63%
The model gave 63% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 44:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 63%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 3:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game5 of 5