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ESL One Birmingham 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleeloss 1:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
pJonn · 13 games
62%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
rue · 11 games
27%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 11 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
aik · 11 games
45%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
rue · 8 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
aik · 8 games
13%
Puck
Puckoften banned
erase · 8 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
aik · 8 games
13%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 462 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
278 picks · 414 bans
49%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
266 picks · 445 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
245 picks · 219 bans
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
242 picks · 136 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
234 picks · 676 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
233 picks · 326 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
232 picks · 216 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Team Klee
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total70% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:38
Team Klee 70%Yellow Submarine 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 51:05.
Game 2prediction missed8:21
Team Klee 70%Yellow Submarine 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 26:07.
Game 3prediction missed25:44
Team Klee 70%Yellow Submarine 30%
The model gave 70% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 57:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 70%
Series resultYellow Submarine 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3