BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YBN Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
311 picks · 458 bans
Phoenix
278 picks · 414 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 445 bans
Lion
243 picks · 218 bans
Vengeful Spirit
239 picks · 133 bans
Nature's Prophet
232 picks · 674 bans
Pangolier
232 picks · 325 bans
Tusk
230 picks · 216 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 45%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total62% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:23
Nix Team 62%YBN Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 36:19.
Game 2prediction correct49:54
Nix Team 62%YBN Team 38%
The model gave 62% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 49:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 62%
Series resultNix Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2