Tcuhete vs South Team — prediction EOB2ОК · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

ESL One Birmingham 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

TTcuheteloss 0:2

series probability

53%47%

probability at match start · final 0:2

South Teamwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tcuhete

No games played over 6 months.

South Team

Dawnbreakeroften banned

ArzenT · 2 games

50%

Centaur Warrunneroften banned

CHAAANNN · 1 game

100%

Dragon Knightoften banned

Leostyle · 1 game

100%

Grimstrokeoften banned

Wij · 1 game

Hoodwink

Wij · 1 game

100%

Invokeroften banned

MonHty · 1 game

Legion Commanderoften banned

ArzenT · 1 game

Lifestealeroften banned

JP · 1 game

100%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Centaur Warrunner

300 picks · 436 bans

55%

Phoenix

274 picks · 410 bans

49%

Grimstroke

260 picks · 442 bans

51%

Lion

229 picks · 207 bans

51%

Tusk

229 picks · 212 bans

47%

Nature's Prophet

227 picks · 640 bans

53%

Vengeful Spirit

224 picks · 119 bans

53%

Pangolier

218 picks · 310 bans

55%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%

Hero pool strength51% South Team

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total53% Tcuhete

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed19:35

Tcuhete 52%South Team 48%

The model gave 52% on Tcuhete — the game was taken by South Team in 33:01.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo