20Twice vs Team Lynx — prediction I2ОК · Dota 2

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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

20Twiceloss 0:2

series probability

38%62%

probability at match start · final 0:2

Team Lynxwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

20Twice

No games played over 6 months.

Team Lynx

Tidehunteroften banned

StoneBank · 5 games

20%

Bristlebackoften banned

StoneBank · 3 games

Slardar

StoneBank · 3 games

100%

Wraith King

StoneBank · 3 games

33%

Medusaoften banned

DarkLord^ · 2 games

50%

Morphlingoften banned

lightless · 2 games

Nature's Prophetoften banned

lightless · 2 games

50%

Terrorbladeoften banned

DarkLord^ · 2 games

50%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Jakiro

479 picks · 446 bans

51%

Tiny

468 picks · 537 bans

50%

Ringmaster

442 picks · 221 bans

51%

Terrorblade

343 picks · 647 bans

46%

Storm Spirit

305 picks · 450 bans

54%

Ancient Apparition

296 picks · 669 bans

56%

Tusk

287 picks · 222 bans

46%

Windranger

281 picks · 84 bans

46%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)60% vs 44%

Hero pool strength53% 20Twice

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total62% Team Lynx

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct17:21

20Twice 44%Team Lynx 56%

The model gave 56% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx in 34:03.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo