BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamwin 1:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TpaBoMaH Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
296 picks · 430 bans
Phoenix
272 picks · 405 bans
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
Tusk
227 picks · 206 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 630 bans
Lion
224 picks · 201 bans
Vengeful Spirit
220 picks · 111 bans
Pangolier
214 picks · 307 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total55% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:48
GoodWin Team 45%TpaBoMaH Team 55%
The model gave 55% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 50:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 55%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1