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ESL One Birmingham 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Kleewin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Matreshka Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Klee

No games played over 6 months.

Matreshka Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 3 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
dark · 3 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
dark · 2 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
NattyNarwhal · 2 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
Retsu · 2 games
0%
Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
293 picks · 426 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
271 picks · 402 bans
49%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
258 picks · 440 bans
50%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
224 picks · 624 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
224 picks · 206 bans
46%
Lion
Lion
222 picks · 198 bans
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
217 picks · 107 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
213 picks · 304 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% Matreshka Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:32
Team Klee 76%Matreshka Team 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Matreshka Team in 43:35.
Game 2prediction missed7:24
Team Klee 76%Matreshka Team 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Matreshka Team in 26:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 76%
Series resultTeam Klee 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2