BetBoom Streamers Battle 5 · BO1
result vs prediction
Nix Teamloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
YBN Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
YBN Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
292 picks · 423 bans
Phoenix
270 picks · 405 bans
Grimstroke
257 picks · 439 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 607 bans
Tusk
225 picks · 205 bans
Lion
221 picks · 190 bans
Vengeful Spirit
217 picks · 96 bans
Pangolier
213 picks · 299 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total52% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:41
Nix Team 52%YBN Team 48%
The model gave 52% on Nix Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 46:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 52%
Series resultYBN Team 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1