European Pro League Season 16 · BO3
result vs prediction
Level UPloss 0:2series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Kleewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Level UP
Templar Assassinsignature
Lorenof · 14 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
swedenstrong · 13 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 13 games
Brewmasteroften banned
OwnedMe · 12 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
swedenstrong · 12 games
Tinysignature
dEsire · 12 games
Tusk
dEsire · 10 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Lorenof · 9 games
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
289 picks · 417 bans
Phoenix
273 picks · 405 bans
Grimstroke
262 picks · 439 bans
Tusk
229 picks · 207 bans
Nature's Prophet
225 picks · 598 bans
Lion
215 picks · 186 bans
Pangolier
213 picks · 301 bans
Vengeful Spirit
210 picks · 92 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 69%
Hero pool strength54% Level UP
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:31
Level UP 22%Team Klee 78%
The model gave 78% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 48:20.
Game 2prediction correct5:37
Level UP 22%Team Klee 78%
The model gave 78% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 25:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 78%
Series resultTeam Klee 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2