?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
GamerLegionloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

GamerLegion

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 24 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 24 games
67%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Speeed · 23 games
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Bignum · 23 games
43%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
RCY · 22 games
36%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 22 games
41%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 21 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Speeed · 21 game
57%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 31 game
68%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Panto · 27 games
63%
Tusk
Tusk
rue · 24 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
rue · 23 games
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 21 game
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Collapse · 18 games
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 18 games
61%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
521 picks · 314 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
491 picks · 582 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
439 picks · 353 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
399 picks · 299 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
384 picks · 209 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
349 picks · 311 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
338 picks · 858 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
334 picks · 850 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 49%
Hero pool strength56% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total84% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:32
GamerLegion 27%Team Spirit 73%
The model gave 73% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 1:05:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezGhost
50% · 210 games51% · 305 games
Storm SpiritLarl
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritRCY
51% · 572 games54% · 71 game
LargoCollapse
Largo
Doom
DoomFayde
49% · 248 games47% · 382 games
TinyYatoro
Tiny
Techies
TechiesBignum
45% · 153 games50% · 174 games
Rubickrue
Rubick
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernSpeeed
48% · 48 games56% · 299 games
Hoodwinknot me
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct16:36
GamerLegion 28%Team Spirit 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 34:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaGhost
48% · 103 games51% · 167 games
Nature's ProphetYatoro
Nature's Prophet
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerFayde
49% · 153 games57% · 101 game
LargoCollapse
Largo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritRCY
44% · 234 games49% · 250 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Phoenix
PhoenixSpeeed
46% · 271 game63% · 102 games
Treant Protectorrue
Treant Protector
Techies
TechiesBignum
50% · 64 games48% · 205 games
Rubicknot me
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 84%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2