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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Secretloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DM · 12 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
56%
Io
Iooften banned
Ceb · 9 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Ceb · 9 games
56%
Alchemist
Alchemist
Yuragi · 7 games
57%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Taiga · 7 games
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
bzm · 7 games
43%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 7 games
71%

Team Secret

Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
BOOM · 16 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Crystallis · 14 games
64%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Crystallis · 14 games
43%
Batrider
Batridersignature
yamich · 11 games
64%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekeroften banned
Crystallis · 11 games
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Armel · 11 games
36%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Puppey · 10 games
30%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Fbz · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
264 picks · 432 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
246 picks · 382 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
243 picks · 334 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
216 picks · 204 bans
47%
Muerta
Muerta
210 picks · 298 bans
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
204 picks · 100 bans
53%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
197 picks · 496 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
181 picks · 325 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Team Secret
Head-to-head3 – 2
Model total61% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:21
OG 56%Team Secret 44%
The model gave 56% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 39:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistYuragi
60% · 55 games60% · 42 games
RazorCrystallis
Razor
Windranger
Windrangerbzm
51% · 85 games45% · 237 games
Primal BeastBOOM
Primal Beast
Enigma
EnigmaWisper
55% · 79 games44% · 209 games
SilencerPuppey
Silencer
Enchantress
EnchantressCeb
48% · 171 game48% · 89 games
LionEkki
Lion
Tiny
TinyAri
49% · 187 games
Game 2prediction correct27:7
OG 55%Team Secret 45%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by OG in 26:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidYuragi
46% · 111 games52% · 175 games
Naga SirenCrystallis
Naga Siren
Puck
Puckbzm
45% · 115 games57% · 221 game
TimbersawBOOM
Timbersaw
Phoenix
PhoenixWisper
49% · 142 games46% · 192 games
PugnaPuppey
Pugna
Chen
ChenCeb
59% · 55 games51% · 153 games
Centaur WarrunnerEkki
Centaur Warrunner
Rubick
RubickAri
43% · 318 games
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 61%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2