BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Tickleswin 2:0series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TWTeam wkwkwkloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Tickles
Enchantresssignature
Dukalis · 21 game
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 17 games
Dark Seersignature
Force · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
Ulnit · 13 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Dukalis · 12 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Force · 11 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 11 games
Kunkkasignature
Lorenof · 10 games
Team wkwkwk
Gyrocopter
Xepher · 4 games
Crystal Maiden
Handsken · 3 games
Lion
Handsken · 3 games
Abaddonoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
s4 · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
s4 · 2 games
Techies
Xepher · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
270 picks · 446 bans
Phoenix
248 picks · 390 bans
Centaur Warrunner
243 picks · 339 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 312 bans
Tusk
216 picks · 206 bans
Dark Willow
215 picks · 102 bans
Nature's Prophet
200 picks · 497 bans
Kunkka
193 picks · 520 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Team Tickles
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Team Tickles
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:24
Team Tickles 61%Team wkwkwk 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 1:01:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keeper of the LightLorenof
Queen of PainStojkov
JuggernautUlnit
LunaSmiling Knight
DoomForce
HoodwinkXepher
EnchantressDukalis
Centaur Warrunners4
TechiesNARMAN
SilencerHandsken
Game 2prediction correct27:17
Team Tickles 61%Team wkwkwk 39%
The model gave 61% on Team Tickles — the game was taken by Team Tickles in 42:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingLorenof
Ember SpiritStojkov
AlchemistUlnit
JuggernautSmiling Knight
Dark SeerForce
Primal Beasts4
EnchantressDukalis
TechiesXepher
TuskNARMAN
Crystal MaidenHandsken
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tickles · 69%
Series resultTeam Tickles 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2